28 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VT
🇺🇦Volodymyr Tatarnykov
ELO 1618
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tatarnykov
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1590
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tatarnykov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H12-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.