28 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1500
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ziakun
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.