28 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1500
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Droshchynskyi
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1487
FormLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sopivnyk🌟Sopivnyk covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.