28 Jun · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1494
FormLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Smyrnov
MS
🇺🇦Mykyta Smyrnov
ELO 1500
49%
51%
Fair odds · Smyrnov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.