28 Jun · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇺🇦Jan Krojidlo
ELO 1485
FormLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Abraham
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1500
48%
52%
Fair odds · Abraham
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.