28 Jun · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1518
FormWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivasiv
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1499
FormLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.