28 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1500
FormWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Abraham
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Abraham
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.