28 Jun · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1528
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kotiash
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1500
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kotiash
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.