28 Jun · 14:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1472
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Smyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.