28 Jun · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1528
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kotiash
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1472
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Kotiash
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)