28 Jun · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Smyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.