28 Jun · 15:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1532
FormWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svitac
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1500
53%
47%
🌟Svitac rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.