28 Jun · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1530
FormWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vydra
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1471
FormLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Jnr stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (4-0)