28 Jun · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1500
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kheresko
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1500
50%
50%
⚡ Cover lean · Kheresko🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.