28 Jun · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1518
FormWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivasiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1485
FormWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.