28 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1495
FormLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Muller
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1500
49%
51%
🌟Cmil covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.