28 Jun · 08:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1500
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Yakimenko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.