28 Jun · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1500
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stopin
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1492
FormL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.