28 Jun · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1500
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lipeiko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1472
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.