28 Jun · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1500
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hanke
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.