28 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1506
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kushnirenko
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1476
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Bului rarely covers set handicap as underdog 19% (21)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.