28 Jun · 17:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1496
FormLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Juppa
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Juppa stays under total as favourite 67% (24)
Fair odds · Juppa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.