28 Jun · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇺🇦Ludek Stoces
ELO 1500
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stoces
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1496
FormLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kolman covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Stoces
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.