28 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1499
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Aristarkhov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.