28 Jun · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VL
🇺🇦Viktor Leonov
ELO 1544
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Leonov
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Paksiutov
ELO 1345
FormLLLWL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Leonov
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H13-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-1)