28 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇺🇦Jan Krojidlo
ELO 1505
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Botka
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1505
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Botka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.