28 Jun · 11:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1522
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+40
H2H14-78
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.