28 Jun · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1510
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kozoriz
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1498
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.