28 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EO
🇺🇦Egor Oprishchenko
ELO 1501
FormWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Oprishchenko
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Sopivnyk covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Oprishchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.