28 Jun · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Martin Stehlik
ELO 1411
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1495
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)