28 Jun · 19:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VT
🇺🇦Vojtech Toman
ELO 1508
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Toman
KF
🇺🇦Karel Farsky
ELO 1498
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Toman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.