28 Jun · 17:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1544
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Svitac
LS
🇺🇦Ludek Stoces
ELO 1444
FormLLWLW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stoces🌟Stoces covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+100
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)