28 Jun · 16:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1389
FormLWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)