28 Jun · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1435
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1515
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)