28 Jun · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H54-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.