28 Jun · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Smyk
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1502
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Smyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H9-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.