28 Jun · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budnikov
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1493
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Budnikov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~70 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.