28 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1446
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1515
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)