28 Jun · 23:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrekh
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.