28 Jun · 23:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1484
FormLLLLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1838
FormWWLLL
18%
82%
⚡ Cover lean · Dukhovenko🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~72 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+354
H2H61-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+354)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-22)