28 Jun · 17:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1474
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Salivonchyk
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1464
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.