28 Jun · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1472
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Budnikov
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Budnikov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~69 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H23-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-14)