28 Jun · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1472
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1555
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H32-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-25)