28 Jun · 21:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VL
🇺🇦Viktor Leonov
ELO 1544
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Leonov
HB
🇺🇦Hennadii Buianover
ELO 1378
FormLWLWW
67%
33%
🌟Buianover stays under total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Leonov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)