28 Jun · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1555
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~70 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H24-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.