29 Jun · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrekh
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1512
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)