29 Jun · 04:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H30-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.