28 Jun · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1493
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1555
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)