29 Jun · 00:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Loboda
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1512
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)