29 Jun · 03:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pohonov
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1598
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Pohonov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (43)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H21-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-19)